Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks from RotoAdvice

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Check out the Daily RotoAdvice Top Picks where this guy is earning his hefty pay.

Player Profiles links from RazzballWeather and schedules courtesy of RotoGrinders, stats by FanGraphs. 

Dollar values found on Fantasy Alarm and on related game-specific sites.

The Daily goes through the top pitchers and hitters, their values and discounts for tonight’s action. As always, check weather and lineups before games.

The Slate (9/16):

 

Away Home Time (ET) Away Probable Home Probable
Red Sox Pirates 7:05 PM Ranaudo (3-2) Morton (5-12)  
Blue Jays Orioles 7:05 PM Hutchison (10-11) Jimenez (4-9)  
Marlins Mets 7:10 PM Eovaldi (6-11) Colon (13-12)  
Yankees Rays 7:10 PM Pineda (3-4) Odorizzi (10-12)  
Nationals Braves 7:10 PM Roark (13-10) Harang (11-10)  
Reds Cubs 8:05 PM Cueto (18-8) Arrieta (8-5)  
White Sox Royals 8:10 PM Bassitt (0-1) TBD  
Indians Astros 8:10 PM Kluber (15-9) Tropeano (1-0)  
Tigers Twins 8:10 PM Porcello (15-11) Nolasco (5-11)  
Brewers Cardinals 8:15 PM Peralta (16-10) Lynn (15-9)  
Dodgers Rockies 8:40 PM Haren (13-10) Matzek (5-10)  
Giants D-backs 9:40 PM Peavy (6-13) Collmenter (10-7)  
Mariners Angels 10:05 PM Elias (10-12) Rasmus (3-1)  
Rangers Athletics 10:05 PM Tepesch (4-10) Kazmir (14-8)  
Phillies Padres 10:10 PM Burnett (8-16) Kennedy (10-13)

 

 

Weather Watch:

  • NONE! (as of this posting)

The Pitchers (9/16):

Top $$$$ Pick:

Corey Kluber, Cleveland Indians @ Houston

FanDuel $10,500
DraftKings $12,300
DraftDay $20,650
FantasyFeud $125,600
FantasyAces $7,250
Swoopt $109,000

 

Not a huge fan of going against the Astros at home, but Kluber can rack up Ks, has been good on the road, and the park is very neutral for this season.

 

MID-TIER PICK:

Ian Kennedy, San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia

 

FanDuel $7,700
DraftKings $8,700
DraftDay $14,850
FantasyFeud $85,600
FantasyAces $6,250
Swoopt $92,000

 

Kennedy has been the definition of solid for the Padres, complete with K per inning production. We just saw Andrew Cashner blank the Phillies Monday night as the Phillies continue to be one of the weakest hitting road teams.

 

DISCOUNT RACK (IF YOU DARE): 

Cory Rasmus, Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle

FanDuel $5,000
DraftKings $5,800
DraftDay $8,750
FantasyFeud $63,100
FantasyAces $5,000
Swoopt $27,000

 

Rasmus has good swing and miss stuff and has Seattle’s merry crew working in his place Tuesday night.

Again, be sure to check lineups and weather changes as well before locking down your rosters.

 

The Hitters: (9/16)

TOP FOUR TEAMS TO TARGET FOR BATS:

  • Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (Dan Haren)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Boston (Anthony Ranaudo)
  • Oakland A’s vs. Texas (Nick Tepesch)  
  • Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota (Ricky Nolasco)

fantasy-aces-logo

Top Hitters on Fantasy Aces :

TOP FIVE $$$$ PICKS (5.2K and higher):

  • Mike Trout, Angels, $5,850
  • Andrew McCutchen, Pirates, $5,600
  • Victor Martinez, Tigers, $5,500
  • Robinson Cano, Mariners, $5,250
  • Carlos Santana, Indians, $5,250

TOP TEN MID-TIER PICKS (4.6K-5.15K)

  • Anthony Rizzo, Cubs, $5,100
  • Nelson Cruz, Orioles, $5,100
  • Corey Dickerson, Rockies, $5,000
  • Neil Walker, Pirates, $5,000
  • Coco Crisp, A’s, $4,900
  • AJ Pollack, Diamondbacks, $4,850
  • Charlie Blackmon, Rockies, $4,750
  • Torii Hunter, Tigers, $4,750
  • Daniel Murphy and Lucas Duda, Mets, $4,750

TOP TEN(ish) DISCOUNT RACK PICKS (Below 4.6K):

  • Yasiel Puig, Dodgers, $4,550
  • Avisail Garcia, White Sox, $4,550
  • Adam Dunn, A’s, $4,500 & Josh Reddick, A’s, $4,500
  • Miguel Montero, Diamondbacks, $4,500
  • Brandon Moss, A’s, $4,400 
  • Wilson Ramos, Nationals, $4,350 
  • Justin Turner, Dodgers, $4,350
  • Kennys Vargas, Twins, $4,250
  • Scott Van Slyke, Dodgers, $4,250
  • Didi Gregorius, Diamondbacks, $4,150
  • Jose Ramirez, Indians, $3,750

The Best of MINIMUM SPECIAL(s) (3,500): 

 

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Fantasy Football Waiver Wire RotoAdvice: Week 3

rg3

Not a good week for health. Who’s left out there that can help?

First, please read our pamphlet called “So your top pick went out with an injury last week”. It’s complete with helpful sayings like, “Everybody gets injuries, it’s not just you” and “I remember when I lost Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo in 1995 in Week 1 and I still won the league”

What? That’s doesn’t make it better or help in any way? I see. Ok, let’s walk you though some possible replacements on the waiver wire who is worthy of a pickup and who will be next week drop fodder. To begin with, let’s take a look at who’s below the 50 percent owned in CBS leagues.

The Quarterbacks:

Kirk Cousins, Washington (8 percent)

It’s telling when the news reports on an injured player tries to sound optimistic when saying that a team expects a player back “this season”. It’s ominous sounding and, in the case of Robert Griffin III, it’s not good. You can debate with folks whether Jay Gruden preferred Cousins from the start, but now Gruden will have to play Cousins, no matter what. Cousins did look good in relief and has the job, but he takes it with one less weapon with DeSean Jackson out.

Cousins is worth owning in a 2-QB league as a bye-week play, for now.

Teddy Bridgewater, Minnesota Vikings (13 percent)

Obviously a spec pick, and if you have the deep bench to stash him in 2-QB start leagues, then do so. Matt Cassel has been average and if Adrian Peterson misses significant time for court cases, the team may decide the future is now and begin to play Bridgewater instead of going all-in on the Matt Asiata Era in Minnesota.

EJ Manuel, Buffalo Bills (15 percent)

Manuel has some weapons at his disposal and the Bills do want ot have good pace as they did last year. However, that hasn’t added up to a ton of snaps per game thus far. Still, Manuel is producing and could be a decent bye week play in Start 2-QB leagues.

 

The Running Backs:

Bobby Rainey, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (44 percent)

Doug Martin missed Week 2 with an injury and Bobby Rainey, as he did last year when the Bucs picked him up to bolster a Martin-less backfield, he flashed big and got over 100 yards. In a single week, Rainey made the top 10 in elusive running backs, per Pro Football Focus’ premium stats, thanks to eight missed tackles. Rainey typically depends on the big run for a big week like that and he does not have the consistency to count on, but as a RB4 type guy while Martin is out or a bench stash on 20-25 man rosters, he’s worth having.

Knile Davis, Kansas City Chiefs (35 percent)

Jamaal Charles has a high ankle sprain and those are tough to play through. though Charles hasn’t even been ruled out for next week’s game against the Dolphins. The Chiefs, due to the their slow start and dependency on Charles for their offense, may try to rush Charles back, so Davis is not necessarily Fantasy Gold for Week 3, but he’s the undisputed backup proven out by his 78% snap participation last week.

Khiry Robinson, New Orleans Saints (45 percent)

Robinson surely won’t be in this real estate too much longer, as Mark Ingram is going to miss at least a month with his injured hand. Robinson runs hard and made his mark last season before getting edged by Ingram as the primary ball carrier during the preseason. The caveat, as always with New Orleans, is that Pierre Thomas is going to play the role of the pass catcher and get a lot of snaps, but Robinson does step into the grinder runner and should get Ingram’s 20 snaps per game.

Donald Brown, San Diego Chargers (20 percent)

Donald was brought in for this occasion, to be a replacement for Ryan Mathews if he got hurt, which a sprained MCL certainly qualifies as such. Brown had a really good year with the Colts last season and should be able to amply replace Mathews, even if he yields some of Mathews’ touches to Danny Woodhead. In Mike McCoy’s offense, Brown has value as long as Mathews is out.

Brown was not originally listed in these picks as we misread the CBS report and thought he was over 50% owned. Obviously not the case.

 

All those Reciever type fellows:

Harry Douglas, Atlanta Falcons (45 percent)

James Jones, Oakland Raiders (35 percent)

Brian Quick, St. Louis Rams (22 percent)

These are the early leaders in the opportunity game at wide receiver, meaning they are currently the ones getting a lot of opportunity for their teams in terms of targets.

Douglas is taking some of the leftover Tony Gonzalez work and has been targeted 15 times in the first two games, catching 67% of those passes. It hasn’t been big yardage yet, but Douglas already showed last season that he can handle a good workload, Roddy White is already dinged up and if Julio Jones misses some time, Douglas is going to be right back where he was last season.

James Jones had a large game in Week 2, but it’s important to note that Jones is catching everything that young Carr is throwing his direction. Jones has 16 targets, of which four have been in the red zone, and caught 12 of them. It’s reasonable to believe that Jones will continue to have a positive impact on the Raiders passing game and is worth having as a WR3.

Brian Quick is the current Ram wideout getting targets, getting targeted exactly nine times both Weeks 1 and 2. The Rams QB situation is shaky, but in deep leagues where the cupboard is somewhat bare, Quick could be a nice source of targets/receptions for a team that might have to throw this year.

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Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks from RotoAdvice

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Check out the Daily RotoAdvice Top Picks where these picks are literally out of the air.

Player Profiles links from RazzballWeather and schedules courtesy of RotoGrinders, stats by FanGraphs. 

Dollar values found on Fantasy Alarm and on related game-specific sites.

The Daily goes through the top pitchers and hitters, their values and discounts for tonight’s action. As always, check weather and lineups before games.

The Slate (9/15):

 

Away Home Time (ET) Away Probable Home Probable
Blue Jays Orioles 7:05 PM Stroman (10-5) Chen (15-4)  
Marlins Mets 7:10 PM Cosart (13-9) deGrom (8-6)  
Yankees Rays 7:10 PM Capuano (2-3) Colome (1-0)  
Nationals Braves 7:10 PM Strasburg (11-11) Santana (14-8)  
Reds Cubs 8:05 PM Simon (14-10) Wood (8-12)  
White Sox Royals 8:10 PM Danks (9-11) Shields (14-7)  
Indians Astros 8:10 PM McAllister (3-6) McHugh (9-9)  
Tigers Twins 8:10 PM Scherzer (16-5) Swarzak (3-1)  
Dodgers Rockies 8:40 PM Hernandez (8-11) Bergman (2-3)  
Giants D-backs 9:40 PM Vogelsong (8-10) Miley (7-11)  
Mariners Angels 10:05 PM Iwakuma (14-7) Shoemaker (15-4)  
Phillies Padres 10:10 PM Williams (5-6) Cashner (3-7)

 

Weather Watch:

  • NONE! (as of this posting)

The Pitchers (9/15):

Top $$$$ Pick:

Jacob deGrom, New York Mets vs. Miami

 
Good home record, ability to strike out a lot of Marlins and a great home run rate leads us to deGrom at home over Scherzer and Strasburg tonight. The Marlins carry a 25% K-rate on the road to help deGrom’s cause.

 

MID-TIER PICK:

Andrew Cashner, San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia

Home start for Cashner, where has been very good and faces the Phillies who have not been good on the road. Cashner’s Ks haven’t always matched his stuff, but the Phillies should give him a bump there and he should have an edge on Phillies starter Jerome Williams for the win.

 

DISCOUNT RACK (IF YOU DARE): 

Travis Wood, Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati

Wood has been a struggler against righties at home, but he’s the best of a bad lot in the Rack tonight, getting the fourth worst Reds in Chicago. Hope the wind blows in, Mesoraco isn’t playing and Wood gets some strikeouts tonight.

Again, be sure to check lineups and weather changes as well before locking down your rosters.

 

The Hitters: (9/15)

TOP FOUR TEAMS TO TARGET FOR BATS:

  • Colorado Rockies AND Los Angeles Dodgers (Roberto Hernandez, Christian Bergman)
  • Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota (Anthony Swarsick) 
  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco (Ryan Vogelsong)

36,000 feet above the Earth hitters picks:

Victor Martinez, Tigers

Adrian Gonzalez, Dodgers

Mike Trout, Angels

Anthony Rizzo, Cubs

Corey Dickerson, Rockies

Charlie Blackmon, Rockies

Miguel Montero, Diamondbacks

Ender Inciarte, Diamondbacks

Brandon Guyer, Rays

Logan Forsythe, Rays

Adam Jones, Orioles

Nelson Cruz, Orioles

Luis Valbuena, Cubs

Chris Coghlan, Cubs

Robbie Grossman, Astros

Alcides Escobar, Royals

Lorenzo Cain, Royals

 

 

 

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Deep Drivel: NFL Week 2 Recap and Commentary

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Ouch.

As if fantasy football wasn’t hard enough.

You used to only have to worry about injuries and stupid coaching decisions.  Now, off-the-field incidents will end your favorite player’s season, if not his career.  The long knives of the sports media are out, and it’s one big contest to see who can fake the most public outrage.  There’s nothing like tuning in to a football game and being subjected to several grown men wringing their hands so hard their fingernails fly off.  What a pleasure.

Adrian Peterson, we hardly knew ‘ye.  For those owners that think they’re going to see Peterson playing again soon, it’s time to face reality.  His timing could not have been worse.  He’s out a minimum of six games, likely more because a child was involved.  In fact, don’t be shocked if his season is over.

Ravens 26, Steelers 6:  Having to sit through one of these snore-fests between these two washed-up teams is cruel and unusual punishment.  In what may have been lowest point in the proud history of the Steelers defense, Ravens RB Bernard Pierce gained 96 yards on the ground.  Evidently the Ravens determined that riding the bumbling, talentless Pierce was a better option than using their $100 million dollar quarterback.  It appears they were right, at least for this game.  The Steelers seemed completely uninterested and played like they had been in their rooms all day smoking reefer.

Cowboys 26, Titans 10:  Yawn.  The Titans ruin yet another game with their sleepy mediocrity.  Jake Locker decided to get Delanie Walker the rock and ignore the running game (hard to blame him).  However, only ten lousy points against the Cowboys hideous defense?   Dallas, in an effort to get Demarco Murray hurt even sooner than usual, gave him 29 carries.  Just be glad you didn’t have to sit through this mess.

Redskins 41, Jaguars 10:  RG3 may have just done the fans and coaching staff a huge favor by attempting to detach his ankle from his leg.  Gruden wanted to play Cousins from the get-go, but knew he couldn’t just come in and bench Washington’s favorite son.  Their offense exploded after the change, and part of me wonders if Griffin has started his last game for the Redskins.  Legendary TE Niles Paul becomes the ‘Skins leading receiver for the second straight week.

As for Jacksonville, they seem perfectly content embarrassing themselves.   I know they think that starting Blake Bortles will ruin his confidence, but how much longer can you give a big middle finger to your fans by sitting him?  At least Allen Hurns continued his tear with 13 yards and a huge drop.  Aren’t you glad you picked him up?

Cardinals 25, Giants 14:  Gotta love this Giants offense.  After two blatant drops in Week 1, Victor Cruz has the gall to complain about not getting enough looks.  So in an attempt to top himself, he manages to pull off an impressive three drops in this one.  Eli Manning continues his assault on every NFL interception record.  Just go ahead and drop all your Giants now and save yourself an entire season of headaches and cursing.  Giants, when Drew Stanton comes into your house and walks out with a win, it may not be your season.

Patriots 30, Vikings 7:  With Minnesota turning it over every five minutes, the Pats didn’t have to do much in this one, with Tom Brady only attempting 22 passes.  Losing a threat like Adrian Peterson turned Matt Cassel into a pick machine, and the Vikings coaches couldn’t be bothered to get Cordarrelle Patterson more involved.  The Patriots have about 10 receivers, but Julian Edelman is the only one worth having.

Browns 26, Saints 24:  Gotta give the hapless Browns credit for playing their guts out ever since that awful first half to start the season, although they aren’t putting up many fantasy numbers.  The big numbers are supposed to lie with Drew Brees and the Saints, who have been letting a lot of impatient owners down.  Jimmy Graham finally broke out with a couple of scores, but Brees has been rather pedestrian so far.  Marques Colston, who wasn’t even targeted, and Brandin Cooks (31 yards) were invisible.  Brees is a terrific buy-low candidate if you can find a panicky owner to take advantage of.

By the way, if Johnny Manziel isn’t owned in your league, snatch him up.  Hoyer has been incredibly average, and Manziel will be an immediate fantasy factor when he’s brought in due to all his scrambling abilities.  With Josh Gordon returning after Week 10, Johnny Football could be a force down the stretch….assuming he can lay off the blow.

Bengals 24, Falcons 10:  That sound you hear is Matt Ryan owners crashing back down to Earth.  After a career-high passing day last week, he was harassed into three interceptions by the Bengals stifling defense.  Giovani Bernard is turning into a real force, with 32 touches.  Hell, even A.J. Green leaving early with a foot injury didn’t seem to bother the Bengals at all.

Panthers 24, Lions 7:  Matt Stafford ran into the same buzzsaw that Matt Ryan did.  Evidently Calvin Johnson isn’t going to dominate every single week, especially when he drops passes in the end zone.  Cam Newton gutted out a decent game, but it’s obvious he wasn’t at 100%.

Bills 29, Dolphins 10:  Well Knowshon Moreno owners, I tried to warn you.  At least you got a decent game out of him before he slunk off with an owie.  After such a great start in whipping the Pats, reality came roaring back for Miami.  This game was a snoozer (as this clash normally is), and it was C.J. Spiller’s 102 yard kick return that really made a difference.  It’s amazing that a team with great playmakers like Spiller and Sammy Watkins can be such a royal bore.

Chargers 30, Seahawks 21:  Like so many of today’s head coaches, I totally outsmarted myself on draft day when I took Ladarius Green over Antonio Gates, a classic case of listening to the “experts” explain that the oft-injured, aging Gates was finished.  Watching Gates score three touchdowns against the best secondary in football today gave me unpleasant feeling that not even Pepto could sort out.  I deserve that feeling.  Dumb, dumb, dumb.

And Ryan Mathews hurts his knee going after his own fumble?  Wanna see my shocked face?

Rams 19, Bucs 17:  I got lucky when I drafted Bobby Rainey.  There’s been a lot of rumblings that Lovie Smith and the staff have never cared much Doug Martin, who missed the game with a knee injury.  Rainey, who was a Browns castoff from last season, looked like LeSean McCoy with 144 rushing yards on a tough Rams run defense.   It’s certainly a kick to the gut of Martin owners, as Rainey isn’t going to be so easily shuffled back to the bench.

Broncos 24, Chiefs 17:  Yup, this is the week Jamaal Charles gets back on track!  Oh wait.  Twelve whole yards before he hurts his wittle ankle, and off to the locker room he goes, a pacifier firmly planted in his mouth.  In the meantime, Knile Davis lights it up, flashing what could have been.  I have a feeling it’s going to be a long, long year with Jamaal Charles, who it appears has returned to his pre-2013 injury prone-ness.  I’m also starting to wonder if the Chiefs will win more than 4 games.

As for Denver, I think it’s pretty obvious at this point that Manning isn’t even going to approach his 55 TD season of 2013 – 35 to 38 is a lot more likely.  They seem to be playing a bit more conservatively, although losing Decker and not having Wes Welker may have something to do with that.

Texans 30, Raiders 14:  Derek Carr has been thrown to the wolves, and may end up eventually being a fantasy option as a result – he also led the Raiders in rushing today.  Remember when Darren McFadden looked talented?  He can’t even get out of his own way anymore.

The Texans did what they needed to do to win, run the ball with Arian Foster and pass as little as possible.

Packers 31, Jets 24:  After facing Seattle’s secondary in the opener, going up against the Jets was like giving a man lost in the desert a glass of water.  So refreshing.  Jordy Nelson remained a man among boys with 209 yards, while Randall Cobb sneaked beneath him and vultured touchdowns.  Consensus first-round pick Eddie Lacy has been the invisible man through two weeks, but don’t panic on him.  He’ll be fine.

Overall, it was a major bloodbath of a Sunday, with significant injuries to Robert Griffin III, Knowshon Moreno, A.J. Green, Ryan Mathews, and Jamaal Charles.  Don’t you just love this game?

See you next week.

Aaron Bland is the founder of the Florida Gators Message Board GatorChatter.com. His Deep Drivel appears every Monday on RotoAdvice and you can reach him on Twitter @AaronBlandRoto

Got questions? Like what you see on RotoAdvice? Keep coming back, check out our other quick entries and like us over on Facebook or Hit us on Twitter @HeyRotoAdvice or @JasonWalkerRoto

 

 

RotoAdvice Daily Fantasy Football Picks: Week Two

NFL: Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings

Check out the Daily RotoAdvice Fantasy Football Picks where this guy is definitely a discount.

Weather and schedules courtesy of RotoGrinders. Dollar values found on Fantasy Alarm and on related game-specific sites.

Check sites directly for price accuracy.

The Daily goes through the top Teams, QBs, RBs and Receivers and gives you a three-tiered look at the best plays. As always, check weather and lineups before games.

The Slate (Week Two):

 

SUN, SEP 14 TIME (ET) TV LOCATION
Atlanta at Cincinnati 1:00 PM CBS Paul Brown Stadium
Miami at Buffalo 1:00 PM CBS Ralph Wilson Stadium
Jacksonville at Washington 1:00 PM CBS FedEx Field
Dallas at Tennessee 1:00 PM FOX LP Field
Arizona at NY Giants 1:00 PM FOX MetLife Stadium
New England at Minnesota 1:00 PM CBS TCF Bank Stadium
New Orleans at Cleveland 1:00 PM FOX FirstEnergy Stadium
Detroit at Carolina 1:00 PM FOX Bank of America Stadium
St. Louis at Tampa Bay 4:05 PM FOX Raymond James Stadium
Seattle at San Diego 4:05 PM FOX Qualcomm Stadium
Houston at Oakland 4:25 PM CBS O.co Coliseum
NY Jets at Green Bay 4:25 PM CBS Lambeau Field
Kansas City at Denver 4:25 PM CBS Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Chicago at San Francisco 8:30 PM NBC Levi’s Stadium
MON, SEP 15 TIME (ET) TV LOCATION
Philadelphia atIndianapolis 8:30 PM Lucas Oil Stadium

 

Weather Watch:

  • NONE! (as of this posting)

 

Top Teams To Target:

  • Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City
  • San Francisco 49ers vs. Chicago
  • Philadelphia Eagles @ Indianapolis
  • New Orleans Saints @ Cleveland

 

REMINDER: Check sites directly for price accuracy.

 

The Three-Tiered Quarterbacks:

High $$$ QB:

Peyton Manning, Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City

FantasyAces $7,800
Swoopt $146,000
DraftDay $16,100
FantasyFeud $180,000
FanThrowDown $14,850
DraftKings $9,400
FanDuel $11,000

 
Yawn. I know. Where’s the mystery here? Well, in picking a top tier QB, gotta pick the right one and Manning is really the only one who has both a good matchup and is at home, so Peyton Manning it is!

MID-TIER QB:

Jake Locker, Tennessee Titans vs. Dallas

FantasyAces $5,950
Swoopt $72,000
DraftDay $9,100
FantasyFeud $50,000
FanThrowDown $4,500
DraftKings $5,900
FanDuel $6,600

Matchup play here as Locker will have the Cowboys. Locker could run one in here and throw a couple of TDs, too.

DISCOUNT RACK QB:

Geno Smith, New York Jets @ Green Bay

FantasyAces $5,800
Swoopt $85,000
DraftDay $6,950
FanThrowDown $10,000
FantasyFeud $50,000
FanDuel $6,600
DraftKings $5,200

 

 
Tough week in the DR for QBs, but with the Packers really struggling vs. the run, albeit against the Super Bowl champs in their house, we’ll play to get lucky with Geno, who can run TDs on his own and take advantage of some soft middle Packers defense.

 

The Three-Tiered Running Backs

High $$$ RB:

Montee Ball, Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City

FantasyAces $5,250
Swoopt $43,000
DraftDay $9,150
FantasyFeud $76,800
FanThrowDown $7,000
DraftKings $3,700
FanDuel $5,000

Believe the Broncos will have lots of scoring opportunities and Ball will take advantage of a Chiefs defense overcompensating to stop Manning.

MID-TIER RB:

Frank Gore, San Francisco 49ers vs. Chicago

FantasyAces $4,900
Swoopt $60,000
DraftDay $5,700
FantasyFeud $112,100
DraftKings $5,200
FanDuel $7,300
FanThrowDown $9,200

The Bears were a little better vs. the run last week at home against Buffalo, but they weren’t the Niners and somehow the Bills decided CJ Spiller was a between the tackles menace, which he wasn’t. Gore is the main play against at home to see if the Bears are still mere cubs against the run in 2014.

DISCOUNT RACK RB:

Matt Asiata, Minnesota Vikings vs. New England

FantasyAces $3,700
Swoopt $32,000
DraftDay $5,000
FanThrowDown $5,800
FantasyFeud $30,000
FanDuel $5,800
DraftKings $3,400

 
Liked this matchup for Adrian Peterson and still like it for Asiata, who takes over after Peterson’s deactivation. Asiata ran well in relief last season and looked solid in the preseason.

The Three-Tiered Receivers (WR/TE):

High $$$ Receiver:

Jimmy Graham, New Orleans Saints @ Cleveland

FantasyAces $5,850
Swoopt $86,000
DraftDay $10,100
DraftKings $7,000
FanDuel $7,500
FanThrowDown $12,000
FantasyFeud $129,700

Sticking with the Saints, even on the road and the fact Graham didn’t score a TD last week in Atlanta doesn’t dissuade me. He has a real good matchup and the Saints should be able to throw regularly to Graham.

MID-TIER Receiver:

Emmanuel Sanders, Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City

FantasyAces $4,850
Swoopt $48,000
DraftDay $7,400
FantasyFeud $25,000
FanDuel $5,700
DraftKings $5,200
FanThrowDown $8,400

Sanders had a nice regular season debut (6 receptions, 80+ yards) and with Wes Welker likely to miss Week 2 also, is an excellent target here against the Chiefs.

DISCOUNT RACK Receiver:

Marqise Lee, Jacksonville Jaguars @ Washington

FanDuel $5,400
FantasyAces $4,250
Swoopt $45,000
DraftKings $3,500
DraftDay $7,450
FantasyFeud $55,800

Marqise had a nice debut in Philadelphia and now comes further south to Washington. Lee had six receptions and over 60 yards and should enjoy a decent matchup against Washington.

More in the Rack (All Positions):

Shonn Greene, Tennessee Titans (Good matchup against the Cowboys — still the top ball carrier in Nashville)

Justin Hunter, Tennessee Titans (Not a high receptions guy, but can get deeper and has the upside for a 2 TD, 120 yard day)

Terrance West, Cleveland Browns (No Ben Tate, West accumulated 100+ yards and should be the bigger beneficiary in the passing game as well)

Rod Streater, Oakland Raiders (at home against the Texans, showed why he’s a good possession/security blanket with a TD last week)

Andre Caldwell, Denver Broncos (Had his chances last week — if he doesn’t catch them this week, it’ll be Cody Latimer next week)

Carlos Hyde, San Francisco (Might be enough carries to go around this week at home vs. Chicago)

Ahmad Bradshaw, Indianapolis Colts (Good matchup against the Eagles, ran hard last week in Denver, at home this week)

 Brent Celek and Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles (Colts gave up three TDs to Julius Thomas this week, the Eagles love to go to the TE.

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Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks from RotoAdvice

gennett

Check out the Daily RotoAdvice Top Picks where this guy has been a great surprise, especially at home vs. RHP.

Player Profiles links from RazzballWeather and schedules courtesy of RotoGrinders, stats by FanGraphs. 

Dollar values found on Fantasy Alarm and on related game-specific sites.

The Daily goes through the top pitchers and hitters, their values and discounts for tonight’s action. As always, check weather and lineups before games.

The Slate (9/12):

 

Yankees Orioles GM 2: 7:05 PM Mitchell (0-0) Norris (12-8)  
Cubs Pirates 7:05 PM Wada (4-2) Cole (8-5)  
Marlins Phillies 7:05 PM Alvarez (10-6) Hamels (8-7)  
Rays Blue Jays 7:07 PM Karns (0-0) Happ (9-9)  
Indians Tigers 7:08 PM Carrasco (7-4) Price (13-11)  
Nationals Mets 7:10 PM Gonzalez (8-9) Gee (6-7)  
Braves Rangers 8:05 PM Wood (10-10) Holland (1-0)  
Red Sox Royals 8:10 PM Webster (3-3) Ventura (12-9)  
Reds Brewers 8:10 PM Corcino (0-0) Lohse (12-9)
Twins White Sox 8:10 PM Hughes (15-9) Quintana (7-10)  
Rockies Cardinals 8:15 PM De La Rosa (13-10) Wainwright (17-9)  
Padres D-backs 9:40 PM Stults (6-16) Nuno (2-10)  
Astros Angels 10:05 PM Oberholtzer (5-10) Wilson (11-9)
Athletics Mariners 10:10 PM Hammel (10-10) Paxton (5-2)
Dodgers Giants 10:15 PM Ryu (14-6) Bumgarner (17-9)

 

Weather Watch:

  • Minnesota @ Chicago HAS BEEN POSTPONED!!

The Pitchers (9/12):

Top $$$$ Pick:

Cole Hamels, Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami

FantasyAces $6,800
FanDuel $9,800
DraftKings $10,600
DraftDay $20,200
FantasyFeud $134,400
FanThrowDown $20,200
Swoopt $115,000

 

Marlins are the highest strikeout team on the road this season, are in the bottom ten in runs produced on the road and don’t have Giancarlo Stanton (get well soon, man). Hamels has the stuff to take advantage (11.7% SwStr). Like him to get close to 10 Ks tonight and the win.

 

MID-TIER PICK:

Gerrit Cole, Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs

FantasyAces $6,000
FanDuel $8,100
DraftKings $8,900
DraftDay $15,800
FantasyFeud $100,800
Swoopt $87,000

 

Cole is back with his good stuff and getting over 9% on missed bats and has the Cubs, who aren’t so super on the road and do like to strike out (3rd most). Wada is his opponent and he has been getting hammered on the road vs. righties, of which the Pirates have some potent bats from that side.

 

DISCOUNT RACK (IF YOU DARE): 

Kyle Lohse, Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati

FantasyAces $5,950
FanDuel $7,000
DraftKings $8,100
DraftDay $15,400
FantasyFeud $92,200
FanThrowDown $15,400
Swoopt $80,000

 

Lohse makes a surprising appearance in the Rack tonight, but his prices are low across the industry. He’s not a high K guy, but he gets a lot of righties out and the Reds have only Billy Hamilton, Brayan Pena and Jay Bruce to deal with him from his weak side. The Reds are the fourth worst hitting team on the road this season.

Again, be sure to check lineups and weather changes as well before locking down your rosters.

 

The Hitters: (9/12)

TOP FOUR TEAMS TO TARGET FOR BATS:

fantasy-aces-logo

Top Hitters on Fantasy Aces :

TOP FIVE $$$$ PICKS (5.2K and higher):

TOP TEN MID-TIER PICKS (4.6K-5.15K)

TOP TEN(ish) DISCOUNT RACK PICKS (Below 4.6K):

  • Russell Martin, Pirates, $4,500 (Actually has been doing better vs. RHP, but good matchup, good price)
  • Wilson Ramos, Nationals, $4,350 (Good power catching option below the mid-tier)
  • Jonny Gomes, A’s, $4,300 (Cleanup lefty hammer power option vs. LHP Paxton)
  • Brayan Pena, Reds, $4,200 (cheaper catching option, batting seventh vs. Wainwright)
  • Craig Gentry, A’s, $4,000 (Speed option, great success rate, batting second vs. Paxton)
  • Mookie Betts, Red Sox, $4,000 (Doing fine on the road vs. RHP, good ppg for the price)
  • Adam Rosales, Rangers, $3,950 (Batting third in matchup at home vs. LHP Santiago)
  • Logan Forsythe, Rays, $4,000 (Batting seventh but good lefty hammer in a hitter’s park vs. LHP Happ)
  • Brandon Guyer, Rays, $3,800 (Better at home vs. LHP than on road, but batting second in hitter’s park)

The Best of MINIMUM SPECIAL(s) (3,500): 

  • Ryan Rua, Rangers (Batting fifth against LHP Wood)
  • Randal Grichuk, Cardinals (Batting second vs. De La Rosa)

 

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Thursday Night Football Week 2: What to Watch For

steve-smith-ravens

Can Steve Smith repeat his Week 1 production and other things to watch for on Thursday Night Football.

As Week 2 kicks off Thursday Night (already!), we put the Week 1 items in perspective and see if things are the way the opening week made them out to be. Or, at least, a little more clarity.

Here’s what we’re watching for on Thursday Night Football between the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers (8:25pm, CBS/NFLN, Sirius SM Radio):

1. How will the Ravens play behind the new of Ray Rice being released this week?

Clearly, the people of Baltimore welcomed Rice back during the preseason, and now the city and the team has to deal with the aftermath of Rice’s violent act and his removal from the NFL as they take on the Steelers in Baltimore.

While the theory is that after kickoff, all is well and guys get to thinking about football, it’s not always the case when something is so emotional. The anger, sadness, disappoint and all those other emotions can have a positive or negative impact on a player or group of players.

We’ll see if the Ravens rally themselves or play a little sluggish against the rival Steelers.

2. Will Markus Wheaton continue to emerge?

The second year Steelers wideout had a nice Week 1 and while we know how Antonio Brown will do week to week, the same is not true for Wheaton. If he can establish he is a consistent target and producer for Ben Roethlisberger, then his fantasy stock should be right where we said it could be in our Waiver Wire piece.

3. How will the Steelers continue to split carries?

We laid out a solid breakdown of how we thought things would be split up in Pittsburgh in our Where to Draft piece on Le’Veon Bell. We said it seemed reasonable to forecast Bell for about 80% of the team’s carries (he had 92% last season) and last week Bell had 21 of 26 carries or 80.7%. So that LeGarrette Blount only got four carries last week came as little surprise.

Still, before we take a victory lap about it, bear in mind it was just one week. It’ll be interesting to see how the Steelers break it down throughout their season and, specifically, this week against the Ravens.

4. Oh, and the Ravens running game, too.

In our Waiver Wire piece, we discussed the Ravens situation since Justin Forsett has gotten a lot of attention there. It looks to be a situation similar to New England’s where anything can happen, any week. It’s a toss a dart while blindfolded moment for fantasy players and our RotoAdvice was to stay away from the whole thing. Still, that doesn’t mean you don’t watch to see trends, and we will be watching to see how Lorenzo Taliaferro runs, how Forsett handles a larger workload and if Bernard Pierce can get his groove back.

5. Loved seeing Steve Smith show out Week 1 — can he do it again in Week 2?

It was a good/bad performance for Smith, who had an 80-yard TD catch and run and also made two tacklers miss while getting an unforeseen 15 targets from Joe Flacco. Also with that were a pair of drops and six catches for 38 yards on his other catches. Before we turn back the clock and wait for Smith to do the rowboat in the end zone again, let’s see if his efforts were repeatable and fantasy worthy.

Got questions? Like what you see on RotoAdvice? Keep coming back, check out our other quick entries and like us over on Facebook or Hit us on Twitter @HeyRotoAdvice or @JasonWalkerRoto