Fantasy Football Waiver Wire RotoAdvice: Week 5

NFL: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Pittsburgh Steelers

Once again, something happens to the first stringer and Mike Glennon comes in slinging.

As always, let’s take a look at who’s below the 50 percent owned in CBS leagues.

The Quarterbacks:

Last Week: Bridgewater, Bortles

Both Teddy and Bortles looked good, fantasy-wise, in their starts last week, but remained largely unowned.

Teddy Bridgewater, Vikings (29 percent)

Clearly, fantasy owner took more of a wait and see approach with Bridgewater than Week 2 hero Kirk Cousins, because Teddy remains in the below 50 percent range (Blake Bortles is at 34 percent and had a nice fantasy week.) What they waited for and missed was a terrific thrashing of the Falcons defense, averaging over 10 YPA and getting a rushing TD. The main complaint now is that he’s too skinny, but that shouldn’t stop you from rostering Teddy, especially in start 2-QB leagues.

Mike Glennon, Tampa Bay (11 percent)

Nor should the same complaint stop you from getting Glennon in the same situation. Glennon is in after McCown’s injury, and should be in there through most of the bye weeks until McCown gets healthy from his thumb injury. Last season, Glennon didn’t do much per attempt, finishing at a meager 6.27, but was still very efficient after being thrown into the fire by the exiled Greg Schiano. Per Pro Football Focus’ QB Rating, Glennon finished 15th and had the highest percentage of passing yards that came before the catch (percentage yards in air).

The Running Backs:

Last week: Crowell, Blue, Taliaferro

Blue and Taliaferro are now owned in over 60 percent of leagues, with Taliaferro adding another score.

Isaiah Crowell, Cleveland Browns (41 percent)

Might be the last time you will see him here. We refer you to last week when we said he’s good for being the 10 carry, 45-50 yard back that could punch in a TD. Hard runner.

Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings (21 percent)

McKinnon got a chance at home against the Falcons and he made the most of it, getting 135 yards on 18 carries, highlighted by a 55 yard run. McKinnon’s metrics are surprisingly closer to teammate Matt Asiata than one might think overall, but once you take away Asiata’s superior pass blocking (no surprise there), McKinnon shows he’s a better runner. Because of Asiata’s pass pro, though, and wanting desperately to make sure Bridgewater is as safe and sound as possible, McKinnon won’t be in there as much as the plodding Asiata. McKinnon is worth a pickup and stash, especially if the Vikings can take leads later into games, necessitating a runner like McKinnon.

Brandon Oliver, San Diego Chargers (8 percent)

His stats haven’t been impressive, but someone has to assume the Danny Woodhead role in the Chargers offense and Oliver could be the guy. His snap count did jump, from 9 percent to 29 percent, even if the results were average, at best. With Donald Brown completely folding against the Jaguars, Oliver was praised by Mike McCoy after the game, telling ESPN.com “He’s only going to get better with time.”

All those Reciever type fellows:

Last week: Hartline, Matthews, Adams

Matthews has moved on to the well-owned, but Hartline and Adams are still good pickups, owned in way less than 50% of leagues.

Jared Cook, St. Louis Rams (26 percent)

He’s infuriating in his inconsistency, but has been well targeted while on the field and has a single drop right now. Playing one fewer game and a bye week, Cook is still top 15 TE in targets and tops on his team. A good bye week target, especially in the middle of the season, and a sneaky good play in start 2-TE leagues.

Odell Beckham, New York Giants (11 percent)

Rueben Randle was good in Week 4, but Beckham can be a good play for a Giants team that is a Top 10 passing team right now, given that his ailing hamstring has healed up sufficiently and is good to go for Week 5.

Robert Woods, Buffalo Bills (8 percent)

Woods has been targeted as much as James Jones and Anquan Boldin and one less than Roddy White. The problem has been EJ Manuel tossing him the rock and not getting it to Woods. WIth Kyle Orton taking the reins at QB, Woods could have more value.

Brandon LaFell, New England Patriots (7 percent)

We added in LaFell because, with 18 Tom Brady targets in two weeks, he’s a clear #2 WR in New England right now. What keeps doubt on him is the erratic nature of opportunities the Patriots provide. Two weeks in a row is a good trend for LaFell, but close your eyes and you can have a vision of inactivity in any given week. Still, should be owned in more than 7 percent of CBS leagues, and likely will be. Solid WR5 or 6 with the inconsistent Patriot usage risk built in there.

Got questions? Like what you see on RotoAdvice? Keep coming back, check out our other quick entries and like us over on Facebook or Hit us on Twitter @HeyRotoAdvice or @JasonWalkerRoto

Deep Drivel: NFL Week 4 Recap and Commentary

MJS PACKERS29 09314, De Sisti, sisti.JPG

They stopped the game for a first round RB touchdown. America rejoiced.

Can you believe it?  One of the consensus Top 5 RB’s finally scored a touchdown!  That was Eddie Lacy, who had a forgettable day otherwise.  The others (Adrian Peterson, Jamaal Charles, LeSean McCoy, and Matt Forte) haven’t even sniffed a score.  It just goes to show that this is all a crapshoot.  That’s how that dork in your league that picked up a fantasy magazine on the way to the draft is undefeated right now, while your team is already circling the drain.  Sigh.

Giants 45, Redskins 14:  Was that Eli or Peyton?  300 yards, 4 TD’s, and rushing score for Eli Manning?  Say what?  Suddenly Eli is looking like a real fantasy option, along with 3-TD-catching TE Larry Donnell, a big oaf no one had ever heard of until this season.  In the meantime, Kirk Cousins did his own Eli Manning impression on the other side with 4 interceptions.  Captain Kirk doesn’t care much for looking off his receivers, giving each one of them the “Muschamp stare” before serving up another pick.

muschamp state

Bucs 27, Steelers 24:  Well, that’s an onion in the ointment.  The Bucs, who looked like a bad high school team the week before at Atlanta, march into Pittsburgh and pull a last-minute miracle win out of their pewter rumps.  An embarrassment like that may just send the Steelers into a season-long tailspin.  Both quarterbacks threw for 300 yards, and Mike Glennon made some plays down the stretch that Josh McCown would not have made.

Dolphins 38, Raiders 14:  I’m kind of glad we subjected the Brits to two of the worst teams in the NFL in a boring blowout.  Perhaps it will hurt their interest in the game and discourage this nonsense of traveling all the way over there to play a football game.  The Raiders have been a poorly-coached team since they traded Jon Gruden over a decade ago.

Lions 24, Jets 17:  The clock is ticking on the benching of Geno Smith, who has the quarterback IQ of Scott Zolak.  Expect Rex Ryan to put in Michael Vick eventually in last-gasp effort to save his own job.  The NFL will be better off when that overrated blowhard finally gets fired.  And what’s going on with Calvin Johnson?  Aren’t you glad you blew a first round pick on him?  He manages 2 catches for 12 yards in a day when Stafford throws for nearly 300.  Nothing like being a zillion-dollar decoy.

Colts 41, Titans 17:  It’s getting harder and harder to express just how much of a dumpster fire this Titans team is.  The Colts did anything they wanted to, while Tennessee subjected the world to Charlie Whitehurst, a guy that should be working a booth in a flea market somewhere.  Andrew Luck lit it up yet again with 393 yards and 4 TD’s, but he continues to get zero help from the running game.  Memo to the Colts:  Cut your losses and send Trent Richardson (20 carries, 47 yards) to the practice squad.  He continues to run like he has Mark Ingram’s Heisman Trophy literally stuck between his butt cheeks.

Texans 23, Bills 17:  Houston, we almost had a problem.  It looked for a second there that noodle-armed draft bust E.J. Manuel was going to lead the Bills to a last minute victory, a humiliation that may have derailed any confidence Texans players had for the remainder of their lives.  Alas, he throws a pick to end the game instead.  Where’s my shocked face?

kramer

Packers 38, Bears 17:  Owners of Packer players can now rejoice that the brutal defensive teams they had to start the season with are over.  The bumbling Bears defense, always a sight for sore eyes to any quarterback, let Aaron Rodgers (302 yards, 4 TD’s) and his receivers (Jordy Nelson 10-108-2 and Randall Cobb 7-113-2) do whatever they wanted to.  Matt Forte yet again racked up about a million yards yet couldn’t find paydirt.

Ravens 38, Panthers 10:  I guess 52-year old Steve Smith wasn’t fooling around.    After promising “blood and guts” in this revenge game, he racked up 139 yards and 2 touchdowns.  Those waiting for Smith to come back down to Earth have been disappointed.  Cameron Newton is practically playing in a body cast and looks like a shell of his former self.  And Panthers, GET A RUNNING BACK.  This experiment of rotating two old, injury prone backs stops working when they are both hurt at the same time.

49ers 26, Eagles 21:  I guess I spoke too soon about how great that Eagles offense was, as this was an awkward comedy of errors.  Part of it has to do with their horrible offensive line – 3 of the 5 starters were picked up in a Philadelphia Quizno’s last week.  At any rate, Nick Foles is having a hard time standing upright, and LeSean McCoy suddenly looks like a poor man’s Shonn Greene.  Pathetic.

Chargers 33, Jaguars 14:  The Blake Bortles show has begun, and he actually makes the Jags just slightly less embarrassing than they were under Chad Henne.  They still trot out there a horrific defense for the ages.  Eddie Royal lights you up for 105 yards and 2 scores?  Seriously, Eddie Royal?

Vikings 41, Falcons 28:  Remember when I told you Adrian Peterson was done for the year?  He’s taken his last snap as a Viking.  However, Theodore Bridgewater steps in and gives the Vikings fans a little excitement!  On top of that, the Vikes finally started giving some carries to the electrifying rookie Jerick McKinnon, who reeled off 135 yards.  For reasons only their idiotic coaching staff knows, McKinnon is still playing behind the talentless Matt Asiata, a stiff who thrives off of running square into the backs of his lineman, and hitting the ground with authority.  Jarius Wright (who?) also comes out of nowhere to gain 132 yards as Bridgewater’s favorite target.  This Vikings offense could actually end up being MORE fun to watch without Peterson.  Who woulda thunk it?

See you next week.

Aaron Bland is the founder of the Florida Gators Message Board GatorChatter.com. His Deep Drivel appears every Monday on RotoAdvice and you can reach him on Twitter @AaronBlandRoto

Got questions? Like what you see on RotoAdvice? Keep coming back, check out our other quick entries and like us over on Facebook or Hit us on Twitter @HeyRotoAdvice or @JasonWalkerRoto

 

Daily Fantasy Football Picks from RotoAdvice: Week Four

levbell

Check out the Daily RotoAdvice Fantasy Football Picks where we’re all in for the dudes in the Steel City.

Weather and schedules courtesy of RotoGrinders. Dollar values found on Fantasy Alarm and on related game-specific sites.

Check sites directly for price accuracy.

The Daily goes through the top Teams, QBs, RBs and Receivers and gives you a three-tiered look at the best plays. As always, check weather and lineups before games.

Get started on Fantasy Aces today. Or for an excellent DFS experience on mobile, get started on Swoopt.

The Slate (Week Four):

 

SUN, SEP 28

TIME (ET)

TV

LOCATION

Green Bay at Chicago

1:00 PM

FOX

Soldier Field

Buffalo at Houston

1:00 PM

CBS

NRG Stadium

Tennessee at Indianapolis

1:00 PM

CBS

Lucas Oil Stadium

Carolina at Baltimore

1:00 PM

CBS

M&T Bank Stadium

Detroit at NY Jets

1:00 PM

FOX

MetLife Stadium

Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh

1:00 PM

FOX

Heinz Field

Miami at Oakland

1:00 PM

CBS

Wembley Stadium

Jacksonville at San Diego

4:05 PM

CBS

Qualcomm Stadium

Atlanta at Minnesota

4:25 PM

FOX

TCF Bank Stadium

Philadelphia at San Francisco

4:25 PM

FOX

Levi’s Stadium

New Orleans at Dallas

8:30 PM

NBC

AT&T Stadium

MON, SEP 29

TIME (ET)

TV

LOCATION

New England at Kansas City

8:30 PM

Arrowhead Stadium

 

 

Weather Watch:

  • NONE! (as of this posting)

 

Top Teams To Target:

  • San Diego Chargers vs. Jacksonville

  • Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Tampa Bay

  • Philadelphia Eagles @ San Francisco

  • Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans

 

REMINDER: Check sites directly for price accuracy.

 

The Three-Tiered Quarterbacks:

High $$$ QB:

Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers vs. Jacksonville

While I am thinking the Chargers will have their way with one of the NFL’s worst defenses so far, if I’m rolling with Rivers and his Chargers brethren, I’m hoping Jacksonville keeps it close enough so the home team won’t let off the acceleratrix, the biggest concern to starting Rivers this week.

MID-TIER QB:

Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Tampa Bay

Tampa has been next level bad so far this season and Roethlisberger is good for a 240-250 yard day with excellent efficiency when at home. Love Big Ben, Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown this week. Ride it!

DISCOUNT RACK QB:

Teddy Bridgewater, Minnesota Vikings vs. Atlanta

Teddy Time in the Twin Cities — Bridgewater got off to a good start going for 7.5 YPA and the Vikings are likely going to have to throw to keep up with the Falcons, who has started off as a top 10 offense so far. Add in the potential for huge gains by Cordarrelle Patterson and Teddy might find himself with good fantasy numbers at nearly a backup QB price.

The Three-Tiered Running Backs

High $$$ RB:

Le’Veon Bell, Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Tampa

DeMarco Murray barely misses out on a repeat in this slot in that we love him at home against the Saints, but we love the matchup Bell has at home against the Bucs, including the pass catching potential.

MID-TIER RB:

Eddie Lacy, Green Bay Packers @ Chicago

There is little value in the mid-tier this week, so we’ll put our money where our predictions are and say this is the week Lacy has a multiple touchdown game and 100 total yards. Chicago’s defense hasn’t been as porous as a season ago so far, but it will get put to the test with Aaron Rodgers and Lacy this week.

DISCOUNT RACK RB:

Alfred Blue, Houston Texans vs. Buffalo

Arian Foster is a game time decision, but even if he plays, Blue will get time to run and could see starter level touches, which would make him a fantastic bargain at his prices across the industry.

The Three-Tiered Receivers (WR/TE):

High $$$ Receiver:

Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Tampa

Jimmy Graham almost made it here, yet again, by virtue of his matchup vs. Dallas, alas, he’s on the road, and the Saints are less effective there, even against the Cowboys defense. Brown, however, has a home game against the currently slappy Buccaneer defense. Love the potential volume Brown would get as well as the potential for scores. We’ll be disappointed if the Steelers don’t do well, safe to say.

MID-TIER Receiver:

Keenan Allen, San Diego Chargers vs. Jacksonville

He hasn’t been right or even close to his rookie form, but the Jaguars have the potential to make everything right. The Chargers are sure to run a bit, but the combination of Jacksonville’s poor pass rush and pass coverage and their nearly 50 missed tackles on defense so far this season gives Allen a reason to be optimistic.

DISCOUNT RACK Receiver:

Devonte Adams, Green Bay Packers @ Chicago

The occupant here the last two weeks, the Giants Larry Donnell, is likely gone from the Rack for the season, given his fantastic production before week 4 and his 3 TD game in Week 4, so we’ll go with Adams, who is passing Jarrett Boykin on the Packers’ depth chart and should see good action against the Bears.

More in the Rack (All Positions):

Markus Wheaton, WR, Steelers (Has had the action and can get free once he catches it. Might be sneaky discount play vs. Bucs)

Shonn Greene, RB, Titans (We like Bishop Sankey, but Greene still has the hold on the GL work and his price keeps dropping.)

Justin Forsett, RB, Ravens (Pierce is back and Taliaferro looked good, but Forsett is the checkdown back and thus gets his touches, great PPR play)

Allen Robinson, WR, Jaguars (We think they’ll be down quick against the Chargers and will throw, throw, throw. Robinson has been very active thus far.)

Jordan Matthews, WR, Eagles (Quickly becoming the second WR in PHL, Matthews has been incredibly efficient, even as his YPC are low.)

Jeremy Kerley, WR, Jets (Tons of targets, good production, lots of opportunity, great production for the price)

Got questions? Like what you see on RotoAdvice? Keep coming back, check out our other quick entries and like us over on Facebook or Hit us on Twitter @HeyRotoAdvice or @JasonWalkerRoto

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks from RotoAdvice (2014 Finale)

kluber

It’s been a blast serving these up throughout the 2014 MLB season — thanks to all who read and keep #DFS growing!

Player Profiles links from RazzballWeather and schedules courtesy of RotoGrinders, stats by FanGraphs. 

Dollar values found on Fantasy Alarm and on related game-specific sites.

The Daily goes through the top pitchers and hitters, their values and discounts for tonight’s action. As always, check weather and lineups before games.

Get started on Fantasy Aces today. For an excellent DFS experience on mobile, get started on Swoopt.

The Slate (9/26):

 

Marlins Nationals GM 2: 7:05 PM Heaney (0-3) Hill (0-0)  
Braves Phillies 7:05 PM Santana (14-10) Williams (6-7)  
Rays Indians 7:05 PM Archer (10-8) Kluber (17-9)  
Orioles Blue Jays 7:07 PM Tillman (13-5) Hutchison (10-13)  
Twins Tigers 7:08 PM Swarzak (3-2) Porcello (15-12)  
Astros Mets 7:10 PM Peacock (4-9) Niese (9-11)  
Yankees Red Sox 7:10 PM Capuano (2-4) Wright (0-0)  
Pirates Reds 7:10 PM Worley (8-4) Leake (11-13)  
Athletics Rangers 8:05 PM Kazmir (14-9) Tepesch (5-10)  
Cubs Brewers 8:10 PM Jokisch (0-0) Nelson (2-8)  
Royals White Sox 8:10 PM Guthrie (12-11) Noesi (8-11)  
Cardinals D-backs 9:40 PM Wacha (5-6) Cahill (3-12)  
Rockies Dodgers 10:10 PM Lyles (7-3) Hernandez (8-11)  
Angels Mariners 10:10 PM Weaver (18-8) Iwakuma (14-9)  
Padres Giants 10:15 PM Kennedy (12-13) Vogelsong (8-12)

Weather Watch:

  • NONE! (as of this posting)

The Pitchers (9/26):

Top $$$$ Pick:

Corey Kluber, Cleveland Indians vs. Tampa

Going out with one of the nicest Top $$ plays of the year, the Klu-Bot. Tampa is not a pushover/easy to K group, even on the road. In fact, they are the 11st best hitting team on the road and their K% is a stingy 18%. Kluber is still the best of a bunch that includes Ian Kennedy in San Franfrisky and Scott Kazmir on the road, where he has been appreciably worse, especially with control. Iwakuma is the only other top $$ pitcher at home, and he’s been more homer happy there and hosts the Angels, who are the #1 road team, if they decide to play everybody.

MID-TIER PICK:

Jon Niese, New York Mets vs. Houston

Niese hasn’t been super, even at home, but the Astros have a unique way of pumping up an opposing SP value. The value is the strikeout, which they are currently fourth in the league in super-whiffing on the road.

DISCOUNT RACK (IF YOU DARE): 

Trevor Cahill, Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis

Cahill has been good at home, the Cardinals are bad on the road and Cahill’s K/9 is almost at an even 9.0 — it all makes for a nice gamble in the DR tonight and hopefully a fine conclusion to a good year for discount rack selections.

Again, be sure to check lineups and weather changes as well before locking down your rosters.

The Hitters: (9/26)

TOP FOUR TEAMS TO TARGET FOR BATS:

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota (Anthony Swarzak) 
  • New York Mets vs. Houston (Brad Peacock)
  • Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore (Chris Tillman)
  • Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Roberto Hernandez)

fantasy-aces-logo

Top Hitters on Fantasy Aces :

TOP FIVE $$$$ PICKS (5.2K and higher):

  • Jose Bautista, Blue Jays, $5,850
  • Mike Trout, Angels, $5,800
  • Edwin Encarnacion, Blue Jays, $5,400
  • Michael Brantley, Indians, $5,500
  • Corey Dickerson, Rockies, $5,250

TOP TEN MID-TIER PICKS (4.6K-5.15K)

  • Kyle Seager, Mariners, $5,000
  • Matt Kemp, Dodgers, $5,000
  • Denard Span, Nationals, $4,900
  • Yoenis Cespedes, Red Sox, $4,850
  • Coco Crisp, A’s, $4,800
  • Lucas Duda, Mets, $4,750
  • Daniel Murphy, Mets, $4,750
  • Brett Gardner, Yankees, $4,750
  • Mookie Betts, Red Sox, $4,750
  • Brandon Moss, A’s, $4,600

TOP TEN(ish) DISCOUNT RACK PICKS (Below 4.6K):

  • Adam Dunn, A’s, $4,500
  • Josh Reddick, A’s, $4,500
  • Chris Coghlan, Cubs, $4,500
  • David Peralta, Diamondbacks, $4,500
  • Conor Gillaspie, White Sox, $4,500
  • Wilmer Flores, Mets, $4,300
  • Rickie Weeks, Brewers, $4,250
  • Kennys Vargas, Twins, $4,250
  • Adam Rosales, Rangers, $3,850
  • Matt den Dekker, Mets, $3,750
  • Jose Ramirez, Indians, $3,750
  • Ryan Rua and Jake Smolinski, Rangers, $3,750

The Best of MINIMUM SPECIAL(s) (3,500): 

  • Ramiro Pena, Braves (Batting second in PHL vs. Jerome Williams)
  • Jordan Danks, White Sox (Batting sixth vs. RHP Guthrie)
  •  Many, many September call ups in the lineups tonight, none too high out there, though.

Keep checking back as lineups are released for updated picks.

Got questions? Like what you see on RotoAdvice? Keep coming back, check out our other quick entries and like us over on Facebook or Hit us on Twitter @HeyRotoAdvice or @JasonWalkerRoto

What to do with Eddie Lacy

131113161714-nfl-award-watch-week-10-eddie-lacy-single-image-cut

One hint: It rhymes with bold.

Our new book, “How to Cope with Busted Running Backs” has an exciting new chapter, just added, called “I Drafted Eddie Lacy”. It’s a riveting read that tells you exactly what’s up with the second year running back and what you should do with him.

First, a song to warm things up:

Some day somebody’s gonna make you want to
Turn around and say goodbye
Until then baby are you going to let them
Hold you down and make you cry
Don’t you know?
Don’t you know things can change
Things’ll go your way
If you hold on for one more day
Can you hold on for one more day
Things’ll go your way
Hold on for one more day

- Poets and all-time muses, Wilson Phillips, 1990

Eddie Lacy’s first three weeks have been filled with the worst kind of seasonal appetizer a fantasy owner could want to taste filled with bad matchups and a concussion. This is not what you signed up for when you took him ahead of Calvin Johnson and others in the first round.

Now every day on the interwebs folks are asking the questions like, “Should I start Steven Jackson or Eddie Lacy?” and “I am being offered Eddie Lacy for Jeremy Maclin, should I do it?”. Dizzying. What should you do, though, when the guy you picked to be your centerpiece looks like he turned out to be wilted flowers?

Hold onto to Lacy if you have him

Step one is hold onto to him. It sucks that he’s bombed the first three games and you might be 0-3 and panicking. Don’t. You’ve already suffered the tough matchups, now consider this: After three of the worst possible matchups for rushing, tougher than any other team in the league according to FantasyDocs, Lacy only has three left on his whole schedule that register as tough and only one of those as tough as any of the previous three weeks. So it will get better for Lacy and the Packers.

Think he’s fat and slow and can’t be effective even in those more favorable matchups? Pro Football Focus’ essential Premium Stats tells us differently. They tell us that Lacy has been the fifth most elusive back that has played at least 25% of his team’s snaps (47 backs). Lacy’s yards after contact is healthy, too, at a 2.51 YCO, higher than last year. This has led Lacy into a tie with Le’Veon Bell for eighth in missed tackles with 11 so far.

Despite Packers coach Mike McCarthy saying that Lacy needs to step up, the stats show he’s been alright, but the defenses, and Green Bay’s complete inefficiency so far on offense, have been a wet blanket on Lacy’s attempts to succeed.

If you have Lacy, Start Him

Don’t get cute or you’ll miss the good matchups. If you sat him during his tough run, I understand. I didn’t, because Lacy will get his chances and that always could mean a big fantasy day, but I understand if you sat him.

Now, though, is the time to play him. This is why you drafted him so high. The Packers will be better and Lacy will benefit. Don’t miss out.

If you don’t have him, trade for him

With this kind of forecast, it’s comfortable saying to trade for Lacy, especially if the ask is something along the lines of Maclin. It’s a classic buy-low scenario, but there is just enough laughter at Lacy’s expense and belief he’ll go Steve Slaton on everyone and never return to rookie form that you could, if you have the right Lacy owner, rip him away like a Steven Ridley fumble.

I’d go all the way to trading draft day value for him, meaning if I had someone wanting something anything less than first round value for Lacy, I’d do the deal, even if it meant trading Brandon Marshall or someone of that ilk. I’d rather buy lower, but I know where I’d go to get Lacy. Figure it out and be ready to strike. Of course, all value is relative to the value of the running back position in your league, your roster construction, etc.

It’s a long season, patience pays off

Yes, there are always some examples of guys that don’t pay off, even with patience, but more often these guys do bounce back and their numbers look great for the season. It’s something often forgotten in the preseason look at last season’s stats. These stats didn’t happen the same way every week.

Last season after week 3, Lacy was 51st in PPR leagues in fantasy points and Le’Veon Bell wasn’t even on the list. By the end of the season, Lacy was 11th and Bell 9th. Things can change quick and being on the wave of stats that raises these guys up are the makings of winning teams and champions.

So give Eddie Lacy a hug if he’s on your team, give him a vote of confidence or make a move and have a press conference announcing his arrival. It may be the turning point to your season.

Got questions? Like what you see on RotoAdvice? Keep coming back, check out our other quick entries and like us over on Facebook or Hit us on Twitter @HeyRotoAdvice or @JasonWalkerRoto

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire RotoAdvice: Week 4

NFL: Preseason-Oakland Raiders at Minnesota Vikings

Speculation no longer, Bridgewater is taking over in Minnesota.

As always, let’s take a look at who’s below the 50 percent owned in CBS leagues.

The Quarterbacks:

Last Week: Cousins, Bridgewater, Manuel

Well, Cousins made it, for one week anyway, and he’s now well owned everywhere (73% and rising). So long, Kirk!

Teddy Bridgewater, Minnesota Vikings (12 percent)

From speculation to desperation, Bridgewater is in as the starting QB after Matt Cassel injured his ankle in Week 3. Bridgewater stepped in and averaged 7.5 yards per attempt and tacked on 27 yards rushing. He went from 13% owned to 12% during last week after our recommendation, but I won’t take it personally. He’ll be owned by a lot more after Week 4.

Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars (14 percent)

Bortles looks good at QB…at least compared to Chad Henne. Bortles has good zip on his fastball and touch on the necessary routes. He came into a blowout and made the most of it, averaging a whopping 9.29 yards per attempt. And this with a no-name group of receivers hauling in what Bortles is selling out there. Leagues that heavily penalize for INTs may want to skip out on the rookie, but 2-QB leagues that don’t deduct too much for turnovers should look at Bortles because there will be much passing in Jacksonville, no matter the anonymity of their receivers

But, but, what about?

Austin Davis, St. Louis Rams (2 percent)

We should all be so fortunate to get our first shots at QB versus Tampa Bay and Dallas, which is why the Rams aren’t overreacting and naming Davis the starter the rest of the way. But….I think that the Rams will see that Shaun Hill may not be as talented passing the ball as even Davis. The Rams have already stated Hill will be their starter when they come off their bye week in Week 4, so between the poor defenses and lack of opportunity, at the least in the short term, there are other places to go than Davis.

 

The Running Backs:

Last week: Rainey, Knile Davis, Khiry Robinson, Donald Brown

Isaiah Crowell, Cleveland Browns (37 percent)

Alfred Blue, Houston Texans (43 percent)

Lorenzo Taliaferro, Baltimore Ravens (7 percent)

We touched on Crowell after Week 1 and said that Cleveland fans are reminded of the Earnest Byner/Kevin Mack backfield with Crowell playing the Mack role and Terrance West running as Byner. After two more weeks, nothing has changed. Ben Tate has still been hurt and West/Crowell have run very well. A bye week of rest may provide Tate the opportunity to get back in the lineup, but his availability issues previously as well as this year and the success of the West/Crowell backfield means that in deep leagues, Crowell is worth having as a 10 carry, 45-50 yards and short yardage TD guy.

Alfred Blue got his chance when Arian Foster’s hamstring caused him to be a late Sunday morning scratch. Blue had run well in the preseason and responded to his chance by getting 88 yards on his 14 touches. Foster has also had availability issues, so Blue is an obvious handcuff to Foster owners and a deep roster stash if Foster’s health problems cause long delays in production.

Bernard Pierce couldn’t go Week 3 so Lorenzo Taliaferro had his chance to play Crowell to Justin Forsett’s Terrance West in Baltimore. Taliaferro looked like a Brandon Jacobs redux as a really big back who is quick afoot and landed 18 carries for 91 yards and a touchdown. Last year Pierce was not very impressive so it’s not a forgone conclusion that Pierce assumes full workload when he’s ready to go again, which makes Taliaferro a good pick as a RB4 or 5 in 12 team leagues based on the plays he can make with the opportunity, which he currently has at least a share of.

All those Reciever type fellows:

Last week: Douglas, James Jones, Quick

Brian Hartline, Miami Dolphins (39 percent)

Hartline is still a prime target in the Dolphins passing attack, having gotten eight and seven targets the last two weeks. He is not an upside pick, rather, a dependable source of receptions and a solid WR4.

Jordan Matthews, Philadelphia Eagles (36 percent)

 Devonte Adams, Green Bay Packers (13 percent)

On the other hand, Matthews and Adams represent upside, in that Matthews is in a high powered offense, but at a WR3 level on a team with pass catching running backs and two good tight ends. However, should anything happen to oft-injured Jeremy Maclin, Matthews stands in a good place with his solid role production, including an eight-catch, two touchdown Week 3 performance.

Adams had a bigger day in Week 2, but the Packers laid a huge egg in Detroit in Week 3 and Adams suffered the same. Adams, though, has emerged and with Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb having some availability issues of their won, Adams is a nice speculation pick as a WR 4 or 5 moving forward, because he’ll immediately jump to WR2 status should anything happen to Nelson/Cobb.

Got questions? Like what you see on RotoAdvice? Keep coming back, check out our other quick entries and like us over on Facebook or Hit us on Twitter @HeyRotoAdvice or @JasonWalkerRoto

Daily Fantasy Baseball (Quick) Picks from RotoAdvice

Philadelphia Phillies v Los Angeles Dodgers

Check out the Daily RotoAdvice Top Picks where the picks are as quick as this guy.

Player Profiles links from RazzballWeather and schedules courtesy of RotoGrinders, stats by FanGraphs. 

Dollar values found on Fantasy Alarm and on related game-specific sites.

The Daily goes through the top pitchers and hitters, their values and discounts for tonight’s action. As always, check weather and lineups before games.

Get started on Fantasy Aces today. For an excellent DFS experience on mobile, get started on Swoopt.

Picks will be quick picks for the week of 9/22. 

The Slate (9/22):

 

Orioles Yankees 7:05 PM Chen (16-4) Pineda (3-5)  
Royals Indians 7:05 PM Duffy (8-11) Carrasco (8-5)  
Mariners Blue Jays 7:07 PM Paxton (6-3) Happ (9-11)  
White Sox Tigers 7:08 PM Bassitt (0-1) Lobstein (1-0)  
Pirates Braves 7:10 PM Liriano (6-10) Harang (11-11)  
Astros Rangers 8:05 PM Tropeano (1-1) Holland (1-0)  
Cardinals Cubs 8:05 PM Wainwright (19-9) Wood (8-12)  
D-backs Twins 8:10 PM Collmenter (10-8) Nolasco (5-11)  
Angels Athletics 10:05 PM Wilson (13-9) Samardzija (6-12)  
Rockies Padres 10:10 PM Matzek (6-10) Stults (7-17)  
Giants Dodgers 10:10 PM Peavy (7-13) Haren (13-11)

Weather Watch:

  • Cleveland @ Kansas City

The Pitchers (9/22):

Top $$$$ Pick:

Francisco Liriano, Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta

MID-TIER PICK:

Carlos Carrasco, Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City

DISCOUNT RACK (IF YOU DARE): 

Nick Tropeano, Houston Astros @ Texas

Again, be sure to check lineups and weather changes as well before locking down your rosters.

The Hitters: (9/22)

TOP THREE TEAMS TO TARGET FOR BATS:

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox (Chris Bassitt)
  • Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona (Josh Collmenter)
  • Oakland A’s vs. Los Angeles Angels (C.J. Wilson)

fantasy-aces-logo

Top Hitters on Fantasy Aces :

First Name

Last Name

Team

VS

Pos

PPG

Sal

Miguel

Cabrera

DET

CWS @ DET

1B

3.76

5,750

Victor

Martinez

DET

CWS @ DET

DH

4.05

5,500

Josh

Donaldson

OAK

LAA @ OAK

3B

3.54

5,300

Dee

Gordon

LA

SF @ LA

2B

3.38

5,300

Danny

Santana

MIN

ARI @ MIN

SS

3.31

5,000

Drew

Stubbs

COL

COL @ SD

OF

2.55

4,900

Adam

Lind

TOR

SEA @ TOR

1B

2.62

4,850

Torii

Hunter

DET

CWS @ DET

OF

3.11

4,850

Adam

Eaton

CWS

CWS @ DET

OF

3.02

4,800

Oswaldo

Arcia

MIN

ARI @ MIN

OF

2.66

4,800

Brian

Dozier

MIN

ARI @ MIN

2B

3.57

4,800

Joe

Mauer

MIN

ARI @ MIN

1B

2.65

4,750

Yasiel

Puig

LA

SF @ LA

OF

3.38

4,750

Josh

Rutledge

COL

COL @ SD

2B

2.06

4,750

David

Peralta

ARI

ARI @ MIN

OF

2.93

4,700

Avisail

Garcia

CWS

CWS @ DET

OF

3.16

4,550

Yan

Gomes

CLE

KC @ CLE

C

2.82

4,500

Miguel

Montero

ARI

ARI @ MIN

C

2.53

4,500

Derek

Norris

OAK

LAA @ OAK

C

2.37

4,500

Mike

Zunino

SEA

SEA @ TOR

C

2.09

4,400

Luis

Valbuena

CHI

STL @ CHI

3B

2.41

4,400

Mike

Aviles

CLE

KC @ CLE

3B

2.08

4,250

Ender

Inciarte

ARI

ARI @ MIN

OF

2.35

4,250

Kennys

Vargas

MIN

ARI @ MIN

1B

3.15

4,250

Jonny

Gomes

OAK

LAA @ OAK

OF

1.52

4,250

Didi

Gregorius

ARI

ARI @ MIN

SS

2.23

4,150

Chris

Denorfia

SEA

SEA @ TOR

OF

1.46

4,050

Alex

Avila

DET

CWS @ DET

C

2.02

4,000

Adam

Rosales

TEX

HOU @ TEX

SS

2.29

3,950

Jake

Smolinski

TEX

HOU @ TEX

OF

2.92

3,650

Randal

Grichuk

STL

STL @ CHI

OF

1.36

3,500

Keep checking back as lineups are released for updated picks.

Got questions? Like what you see on RotoAdvice? Keep coming back, check out our other quick entries and like us over on Facebook or Hit us on Twitter @HeyRotoAdvice or @JasonWalkerRoto